EFL Trophy : Stockport County vs Wigan Athletic Prediction & Betting Tips

Match: EFL Trophy

Fixture: Stockport County vs Wigan Athletic

Local Kick-off Time: November 11th, 19:00

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Handicap Prediction:

Stockport County -0.5 (Asian Handicap)

Home Win (European Handicap)

Predicted Scores: 2-1, 3-1, 3-2

Predicted Total Goals: 3, 4, 5

Comprehensive Prediction Analysis:

Stockport County currently hold the top spot in League One with 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses, scoring 22 goals and conceding 17. While neither their attack nor defense is the best in the league, they are undoubtedly part of the first tier. However, their three-game winning streak in League One was ended by a 0-3 home defeat to Luton Town in their last match. In the EFL Trophy group stage, they have 1 win and 1 loss, accumulating 3 points. To qualify for the next round, a draw would require Wolves U21 to fail to win their game, while a win would secure their place outright. In terms of personnel, key left-back Ryan Rydel received a red card (two yellows) in the league, but league red cards do not carry over to the EFL Trophy. However, Icelandic striker Benny Andersen has been called up to the Iceland U21 squad and will miss the match.

Wigan Athletic’s recent form has been poor. Although they are unbeaten in their last four games, three of those have been draws. More unfavorably, a draw in this match would eliminate them from the EFL Trophy—they must fight for all three points to have any chance of qualifying. In the league, they sit 16th with 18 points, just one position above the relegation zone, forcing them to choose between competing in the EFL Trophy or focusing on league survival. Defensively, key defender James Carragher (son of Liverpool legend Jamie Carragher) has been called up to the Malta national team after recovering from injury. On the positive side, midfielders Tom Naylor and Shaun Francis may return, while Malese Asamoah has been included in the squad despite a back issue. Dara Costelloe is also available again after serving a three-match suspension for violent conduct in the October 18th game against Morecambe.

Summary:

The key focus of this match lies in Wigan Athletic’s defensive resilience. Facing Stockport’s average of 1.4 goals per game, the away team will likely adopt a deep-lying defensive strategy. After their heavy defeat last time out, Stockport are eager to regain form, which may lead to defensive vulnerabilities from overcommitting forward—giving Wigan’s efficient counter-attacking system opportunities to score. In the Asian Handicap, the initial line opened with Stockport as -0.5 favorites, and it has remained stable since the market opened. This reflects that Wigan, bottom of the EFL Trophy group, have little market support, while Stockport need three points to solidify their qualification. Therefore, this match favors Stockport County to claim victory at home.