Sports
Champions League Winning Probability Updated: Arsenal Leads by a Landslide; Bayern, Man City & Liverpool Rank 2nd, 3rd & 4th
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November 7, 2025 · 12:32
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With all matches of the fourth round of the Champions League group stage concluded, Camel Live has updated the winning probability for the Champions League title.Arsenal tops the list with a 23.5% pro...
With all matches of the fourth round of the Champions League group stage concluded, Camel Live has updated the winning probability for the Champions League title.
Arsenal tops the list with a 23.5% probability, followed by Bayern Munich (14.3%), Manchester City (12.9%), Liverpool (11.7%), and Paris Saint-Germain (10.2%).
| Team | Rank | Quarter-Finals | Semi-Finals | Final | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 1 | 81.4% | 58.2% | 38.8% | 23.5% |
| Bayern München | 2 | 74.6% | 47.4% | 27.8% | 14.3% |
| Manchester City | 3 | 71.1% | 44.4% | 24.9% | 12.9% |
| Liverpool | 4 | 67.5% | 39.4% | 22.1% | 11.7% |
| Paris Saint-Germain | 5 | 63.5% | 36.4% | 20.2% | 10.2% |
| Real Madrid | 6 | 52.3% | 24.4% | 10.7% | 4.7% |
| Barcelona | 7 | 46.5% | 21.4% | 9.4% | 4.2% |
| Internazionale | 8 | 52.4% | 23.4% | 9.9% | 4.2% |
| Chelsea | 9 | 42% | 20.3% | 8.9% | 3.9% |
| Newcastle United | 10 | 43.4% | 19.6% | 7.8% | 3.5% |
